Andrew Miller's Vizify Bio

Friday, March 29, 2013

Volume I, Issue XII "PARAX" & "CHOIC"

The [PARAX] Fund


The Paramount Studio Fund grew form H$ 16.17 to H$19.50 (H$3.33, 20.59%, 0.69%dROI) over the past 30 days. The fund’s investments are highly concentrated, only holding significant positions in four securities. The fund seems to have quite a bit of capital ready to invest, likely in taking a position on GIJO2 sometime over the next 24 hours. The fund did not play the .OW derivative. The fund holds 35% of its capital in Large-Cap stocks, 30.4% in Mid-Cap securities, and just 1.87% in Small-Cap. Shares in securities are more evenly spread at 20.3% for Large-Cap, 39.8% for Mid-Cap and Small-Cap. The fund’s assets are almost evenly divided between securities in Release (49.4%) and in Development (50.6%), which no funds invested in any securities in Production or Wrap.


Note: The Development, Production, Wrap and Release percentages are representative not of the share of the total fund, but of the share of funds invested in Movie Stocks.
 The fund is 68% invested, although that will likely change sometime in the next 24 hours with an investment in GIJO2. The fund’s four current investments are as follows.




If the fund continues to grow at 0.69%dROI, the delist price on 9/15/13 would be H$63.54. If it grows at 0.50%, its rate since IPO, it would delist at H$46.09. My best guess is somewhere in between, but closer to H$50.00.

The [CHOIC] Fund


The Player’s Choice Fund has grown from H$27.86 to H$35.45 (H$7.59, 27.24%, .91%dROI) over the last 30 days. The fund’s investments are almost evenly split between Movie Stocks  (6) and Star Bonds (7), however the value of the investments and the number of shares invested both heavily favor Movie Stocks. The Movie Stocks make up 53% of the fund’s value and 62.5% of its invested shares, compared to just 28.4% and 18.1% respectively for Star Bonds.

A little more than half of the fund’s invested shares are in Small-Cap stocks (51.2%), while 26.4% are in Mid-Cap and the remaining 19.4% are in Large Cap. The fund holds (6) Small Cap Stocks, (6) Mid-Cap Stocks and (4) Large Cap stocks. Of the six movie stocks the fund holds, 3 are in the release phase ([OZTGP] [GIJO2] [FUOPH]). The large investment in released projects means the fund will have more capital available soon to re-invest in other ventures. The following table shows the full breakdowns of the fund’s investments. (Not shown are the Derivatives the fund is invested in, totaling 3 investments. They account for 12.8% of the value, 19.4% of the shares, and 18.9% of the Positions.)





Note: The Development, Production, Wrap and Release percentages are representative not of the share of the total fund, but of the share of funds invested in Movie Stocks.
  The fund is 94.2% invested, not counting the profits tied up in shorted shares. The fund’s top 10 investments consist of 3 Movie Stocks, 6 Star Bonds, and 1 Derivative, and account for 88.9% of the fund’s value.


If the fund continues to grow at .91% dROI, it would delist on 7/21/13, if the fund grows at 1.04% dROI, its rate since IPO, it would delist on 7/7/13. I am going to project a more conservative .60%dROI, because the fund is quite limited in what it can invest in, and I feel it may have trouble continuing this rate of growth. At .60%dROI, the fund would delist on 9/18/13.

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